At the time of writing Norwich are a little over 9/4 (3.35) on Betfair to beat Blackpool away on Saturday.
Whilst it's true Norwich have certainly had their troubles in recent months, 9/4 is a big price to beat a lower league team. I know there are always cup upsets but that's just it. This is an upset which people want to happen. And for that reason, it won't.
If you saw the faces of the Norwich team before the Tamworth game, you would have been convinced they were going to lose. They were bricking it. And for the first 15 minutes or so they certainly looked like losing. Anyone with access to Betfair would have had some good trading opportunities. But once the first goal went in, classic Dion, that was it. The relief was there for all to see and Norwich capitalised.
They won't be so nervy today. They have something to prove. They won't want a replay at Carrow Road. Ok, Earnshaw is out, but he didn't score at Tamworth. Blackpool will start to be complacent as they think they have a good chance.
Saturday, 27 January 2007
Wednesday, 3 January 2007
FA Cup 3rd Round ... Upset on the Cards?
Tamworth v Norwich
Is there a Cup upset on the cards? I think so.
Norwich are playing so inconsistently at present, really anything could happen. They could be three up after 15 minutes. They could be three down after 30 minutes. There is no knowing how much space the pantomime midfield will give the opposition and the defence seems loathe to challenge anyone venturing anywhere near the penalty area.
Much depends on where Dion Dublin plays. If he plays at the back, then Tamworth will definitely find it difficult to score. However, there is a chance that he either will play up front or won’t get a game if the manager wants to rest him.
So what about Earnshaw? Isn’t he nailed on to score? Very possibly if he plays. But he still needs the service and Tamworth will have done their homework on both Earnie and Huckerby.
But what if Earnie is being lined up for a Premiership team in the New Year sales? What if he doesn’t play?
The match is on live TV. The BBC have chosen wisely. Tamworth will be well up for this. And well they should be against a struggling Norwich team lacking in confidence.
Tamworth are 6-1 at Betfair or less risky is a lay on Norwich at 1.6. Norwich are certainly no value to win this. Cup upset here we come.
Is there a Cup upset on the cards? I think so.
Norwich are playing so inconsistently at present, really anything could happen. They could be three up after 15 minutes. They could be three down after 30 minutes. There is no knowing how much space the pantomime midfield will give the opposition and the defence seems loathe to challenge anyone venturing anywhere near the penalty area.
Much depends on where Dion Dublin plays. If he plays at the back, then Tamworth will definitely find it difficult to score. However, there is a chance that he either will play up front or won’t get a game if the manager wants to rest him.
So what about Earnshaw? Isn’t he nailed on to score? Very possibly if he plays. But he still needs the service and Tamworth will have done their homework on both Earnie and Huckerby.
But what if Earnie is being lined up for a Premiership team in the New Year sales? What if he doesn’t play?
The match is on live TV. The BBC have chosen wisely. Tamworth will be well up for this. And well they should be against a struggling Norwich team lacking in confidence.
Tamworth are 6-1 at Betfair or less risky is a lay on Norwich at 1.6. Norwich are certainly no value to win this. Cup upset here we come.
Celebrity Big Brother 2007
Here we go again.
Here are my predictions for the 2007 25 day whirlygig of a TV extravaganza. Whether I’ll watch any of it is a different matter. Am typing this as they go in.
1. Jermaine Jackson - one of the 5 and of course brother of Michael and Janet. C4 no doubt hoping for the lowdown on the “blacksheep“ of the family. Apparently has servants at home and clearly has no idea what he’s let himself in for. Could be interesting to see how he fares. Not well known enough over here to win. Current odds ... 40-1.
2. Danielle LLoyd - A WAG. As you all know she was Miss GB and got stripped of her title after baring all and going out with one of the judges, star Premiership footballer Teddy Sheringham. A ”munter“ according to my daughter. Receiver of the first boos and clearly no clue who Jermaine was . No chance. Perhaps first evictee? Odds ... 27-1.
3. Ken Russell. Top choice but no chance - all we need now is Michael Winner. Now 78, barking mad (I would say senile but he’s always been like that) film director from the 60s and 70s famous for his use of the naked form. Says he loves the show and he’ll be entertaining at the very least. But no one who watches this will know who he is - hence the lack of reception from the crowd and that’s why he won’t win. Was obviously enjoying a sweary entnrance hence the sound dips. Current odds ... 14-1.
4. Jo O’Meara. Ex S Club 7 girl with the best voice and big face who now breeds dogs. Not a lot more to say about her. Seems quite normal. Seems to be on here to get a bit of celeb back in her life again. Very popular with the welcoming crowd and will be popular with the viewers. Current odds ... 5-1.
5. Leo Sayer. Hitster from the 70s now living in Oz. Great ballad writer. I remember him dressed as a clown on TOTP. I always like When I Need You. Thoroughly nice bloke and very chummy. Wonder if he’s a manic depressive. Seems to know Jermaine. Has to be an early favourite. Current odds ... 6-1.
6. Shilpa Shetty . Bolloywood superstar. Slightly cynical I know but good move from C4 to get the asian viewer but wonder if they’ll have enough influence here. Takes celebrity far too seriously and will wind people up with her apparent arrogance but is probably not at all like that. Not immediately one of my favourites but could be a surprise outsider. Odds .. 20-1.
7. Carole Malone. Genuinely arrogant Sunday Mirro columnist who fanices pitting her wits against a bunch of celebs. Already appeared on Celebrity Fit Club. Journalist? Seems like she’s missed her vocation. She’ll be one of the first out. Current odds ... 50-1.
8. Donny Tourette. Singer with the Towers of London with an amusing surname - bottom of the bill at Reading according to my pop insider and clearly need the publicity. Boyfriend of little Peaches Geldof. Trying way too hard to be controversial. Quite frankly who cares, it’s all been done. Not well known enough and won’t win. One of the favourites for first eviction. Odds ... 16-1.
9. Ian Watkins. Aka H from Steps who never turned up for his performance as Joseph at the Norwich Theatre Royal when I went to see it. Not that I’m bitter or owt. Has ”come out“ today apparently, whatever that means and is really proud of who he is. Good plan H. Gets the gay vote, which he would have got anyway. Donny must be doing his nut in there with two real famous popstars. Has to be an early favourite although my gut reaction is that he won’t win unless he comes across as needing to be mothered. Odds ... 8-1
10. Cleo Rocas. 70s chesty icon. Worked with Kenny Everett as Miss Whiplash. Seems very nice. Not well known enough thesedays (no wikipedia link) but will get some of the gay vote. Odds ... 12-1.
11. Dirk Benedict. Faceman from the A Team. Hmmm. Why? Another dodgy american. Seems nice enough but won’t win. Odds 7-1.
12. Any other. Always worth a bet and given the above bunch of ”celebs“ a distinct possibility especially since there are rumours of a whole family joining the show (surely not the Goody family??). Odds ... 8-1.
So there you have it. My four for the top are:
H from Steps 8 to 1
Jo from S Club 4.9 to 1
Leo Sayer 6.2 to 1
Any Other 7 to 1
At those odds not sure I could say anything was value. I really don’t think Dirk will win and would say he is worth laying at odds of 4s or shorter. Shilpa is the interesting one. At 20-1 she could be the value bet. But like all these reality TV events, insider trading abounds and the market is manipulated like crazy by those in the know. Steer well clear.
Here are my predictions for the 2007 25 day whirlygig of a TV extravaganza. Whether I’ll watch any of it is a different matter. Am typing this as they go in.
1. Jermaine Jackson - one of the 5 and of course brother of Michael and Janet. C4 no doubt hoping for the lowdown on the “blacksheep“ of the family. Apparently has servants at home and clearly has no idea what he’s let himself in for. Could be interesting to see how he fares. Not well known enough over here to win. Current odds ... 40-1.
2. Danielle LLoyd - A WAG. As you all know she was Miss GB and got stripped of her title after baring all and going out with one of the judges, star Premiership footballer Teddy Sheringham. A ”munter“ according to my daughter. Receiver of the first boos and clearly no clue who Jermaine was . No chance. Perhaps first evictee? Odds ... 27-1.
3. Ken Russell. Top choice but no chance - all we need now is Michael Winner. Now 78, barking mad (I would say senile but he’s always been like that) film director from the 60s and 70s famous for his use of the naked form. Says he loves the show and he’ll be entertaining at the very least. But no one who watches this will know who he is - hence the lack of reception from the crowd and that’s why he won’t win. Was obviously enjoying a sweary entnrance hence the sound dips. Current odds ... 14-1.
4. Jo O’Meara. Ex S Club 7 girl with the best voice and big face who now breeds dogs. Not a lot more to say about her. Seems quite normal. Seems to be on here to get a bit of celeb back in her life again. Very popular with the welcoming crowd and will be popular with the viewers. Current odds ... 5-1.
5. Leo Sayer. Hitster from the 70s now living in Oz. Great ballad writer. I remember him dressed as a clown on TOTP. I always like When I Need You. Thoroughly nice bloke and very chummy. Wonder if he’s a manic depressive. Seems to know Jermaine. Has to be an early favourite. Current odds ... 6-1.
6. Shilpa Shetty . Bolloywood superstar. Slightly cynical I know but good move from C4 to get the asian viewer but wonder if they’ll have enough influence here. Takes celebrity far too seriously and will wind people up with her apparent arrogance but is probably not at all like that. Not immediately one of my favourites but could be a surprise outsider. Odds .. 20-1.
7. Carole Malone. Genuinely arrogant Sunday Mirro columnist who fanices pitting her wits against a bunch of celebs. Already appeared on Celebrity Fit Club. Journalist? Seems like she’s missed her vocation. She’ll be one of the first out. Current odds ... 50-1.
8. Donny Tourette. Singer with the Towers of London with an amusing surname - bottom of the bill at Reading according to my pop insider and clearly need the publicity. Boyfriend of little Peaches Geldof. Trying way too hard to be controversial. Quite frankly who cares, it’s all been done. Not well known enough and won’t win. One of the favourites for first eviction. Odds ... 16-1.
9. Ian Watkins. Aka H from Steps who never turned up for his performance as Joseph at the Norwich Theatre Royal when I went to see it. Not that I’m bitter or owt. Has ”come out“ today apparently, whatever that means and is really proud of who he is. Good plan H. Gets the gay vote, which he would have got anyway. Donny must be doing his nut in there with two real famous popstars. Has to be an early favourite although my gut reaction is that he won’t win unless he comes across as needing to be mothered. Odds ... 8-1
10. Cleo Rocas. 70s chesty icon. Worked with Kenny Everett as Miss Whiplash. Seems very nice. Not well known enough thesedays (no wikipedia link) but will get some of the gay vote. Odds ... 12-1.
11. Dirk Benedict. Faceman from the A Team. Hmmm. Why? Another dodgy american. Seems nice enough but won’t win. Odds 7-1.
12. Any other. Always worth a bet and given the above bunch of ”celebs“ a distinct possibility especially since there are rumours of a whole family joining the show (surely not the Goody family??). Odds ... 8-1.
So there you have it. My four for the top are:
H from Steps 8 to 1
Jo from S Club 4.9 to 1
Leo Sayer 6.2 to 1
Any Other 7 to 1
At those odds not sure I could say anything was value. I really don’t think Dirk will win and would say he is worth laying at odds of 4s or shorter. Shilpa is the interesting one. At 20-1 she could be the value bet. But like all these reality TV events, insider trading abounds and the market is manipulated like crazy by those in the know. Steer well clear.
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